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METEOQUAKE Meteoquake group is a scientific community established in United Kingdom which tries to prove that earthquakes are predictable. The theory that Meteoquake suggests is mostly related with the interaction between earthquakes and atmospheric events. The initial component of the theory briefly mentioned above is the earthquake clouds. We know that most earthquake prediction studies performed until today are insufficient because of the complexity of the earthquake occurrence. A meteorological event that occurs for a short while and before an earthquake, on the lower layers of the atmosphere. During that event, some low clouds occur (like stratus) and existing low clouds (stratus) change direction and move to the just opposite direction of the middle layer clouds, on a 180° angle to both sides. The shape of those clouds is different than normal clouds. They are longer and also when they move they give impression that some forces pull them to the ground. These unknown clouds which look similar to “stratus” occurs may be when some unknown gas (CO2, CH4, N2 or unknown one) is released from the earths crust to the atmosphere prior to an earthquake. The origin of the anomalies is likely to be related with the increase of surface temperature in the epicentral region of the earthquake. This is associated with the build up of stress and movements along faults. It is well known that an increase in pressure leads to an increase in temperature. Due to the acting stress field, sub-surfaces pressure increases with a consequent increase in temperature.Or/and those clouds occur because of a large-scale formation of ions (positively charge ions) at the air-to-ground interface due to the build-up of (microscopically) very high electric fields. These fields are probably strong enough to induce field ionization of air molecules such as O2 and H2O. These ions should be expected to serve as nuclei for the condensation of water vapor, hence haze and cloud formation. RESEARCH METEOROLOGY
Department (MD) Studies
EARTH
SCIENCES Department (ESD) Studies LABORATORY
Department Studies
::.. Geophysical Laboratory tests for the models by ESD INFORMATION
TECHNOLOGY Department (ITD) Studies ::..
Database administration
::.. a data centre in Istanbul to store all the data from the MRC observatories.
::.. “MeteoSat8” data analysis
::.. EumetSAT data analysis
::.. Earthquake Clouds formation research cont... We believe that those clouds occur on the fault-lines of Northern Turkey. They have something to do with seismo-electromagnetic precursor which is a very reliable precursor. It occurs and is exhibited about 10 to 20 hours before the quake. Before the occurrence of an earthquake the subsurface temperature rises. As a result of this the geomagnetic field is reduced. The reduction in geomagnetic field adversely affects the propagation of electromagnetic waves. This is experienced abundantly on the radio, television and telephone. Planned Activities At this point, Meteoquake defines an observation-oriented methodology. The planned tasks have been divided into two groups as social and scientific. For a deterministic earthquake prediction, the parameters listed below should be known: •
The magnitude of the future earthquake,
II. What is an earthquake cloud? III. When does it occur? IV. Why does it move in the opposite direction? V. What physical factors control earthquake clouds? VI. Do they occur every time? VII. What is relation between the geological conditions and the earthquake clouds? Do conditions affect the velocity, structure or geometry of the clouds? VIII. Are there any other anomalies detected in the former studies that can form a cloud? IX.
How do earthquake parameters and fault properties affect the clouds
and the atmosphere? |
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