From: Margarita Matova
Date: 01/10/04 18:06:11
To: ronald.karel@ntlworld.com
Subject: Re: meteoseisme


Dear Ronald,


Some words about your remarks:


3. The rapid release of the accumulated energy provokes also the atmosphere
changes... YES

I don't have knowledges for the different kings of movements of the gazes
and clouds. I could not make any comments. I will say again that your
observations are interestiong.

On the basis of the "fault", I make mainly long-term prognosis for strong,
moderate and weak earthquakes.

There are mechanical, physical (electrical, magnetic etc) and chemical
processes and energy during the preparation and realization of the seismic
events.

The different kind of energy could change mainly the lower levels of the
atmosphere. Some higher levels could been influenced only by very strong
seismic manifestations. The satellite images show differences between the
higher regional clouds and the lower local ones. Sometimes the higher clouds don't permit to observed the lower ones. In my report I had used data for lower clouds during summer, when the regional cloud masses are rare.

I will say again, that the monitoring from space for the cloud distribution
is only one of numerous observations and monitorings, that are useful for
short-term prognosis of moderate and strong earthquakes.

I agree your comment for the clouds situation: "It may be when the energy goes out from the earth, this energy pull the lower atmosphere clouds from the point which it is released. For that reason lower clouds appear and/or change direction and move through to this area that the energy is released. But for "the 180 degree angle between lower clouds and middle altitude clouds" I could say nothing.

4. "When I predicted my 6th earthquake.." Please say me for all 6 events. In the 6-page's article there are 3 predictions. It is interesting to know some more for your s u c c e s s: data for the geographical coordinates or the towns, villages, for the time (hour, min.), the magnitude M, the intensity Io, the depth of the earthquakes and for the length of periods for your prognoses of seismic events (how many days? or hours? or minutes?). It is possible to answer for some of them that they are not well documented.

For the Erzurum earthquake your prediction in 24 hours before the shock it
is very interesting.

Sorry, for me it is difficult to receive meteorological information. I am in
Geological Institute. The main data are taken by newspaper publications for
Meteosat images. The publications are only for Europe and not every day.

5.The seismic energy and its field had influence also on the biosphere,
hydrosphere.

The messages with you are interesting for me too. It will be well for me to
know
- where do you live and work now?
- do you have possibilities for similar observations during your
visits of Turkey or in other countries?

I have several basic questions:
- You had prepare several seismic prognosis on the basis of the lower
clouds displacements. How many of them were related successfully with
earthquakes and how many - without any seismic events?
- Do you make prognosis related to moderate or to strong earthquakes?
- What means short time for your prognoses (several days ot hours; in the
article it was 1 day before)?


Best regards!

Dr. M. Matova